Thursday, 7 November 2019

Release of 3rd Quarter 2019 real estate statistics - URA

Published: 25 October 2019
The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) released today the real estate statistics for 3rd Quarter 20191.
PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES
Private residential market at a glance:

* Figures exclude Executive Condominium (ECs)
Prices and Rentals
Prices of private residential properties increased by 1.3% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 1.5% increase in the previous quarter.
Property Price Index of private residential properties


Prices of landed properties increased by 1.0% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 0.1% decrease in the previous quarter. Prices of non-landed properties increased by 1.3% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 2.0% increase in the previous quarter.
Prices of non-landed properties in Core Central Region (CCR) increased by 2.0% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 2.3% increase in the previous quarter. Prices of non-landed properties in Rest of Central Region (RCR) increased by 1.3%, compared with the 3.5% increase in the previous quarter.  Prices of non-landed properties in Outside Central Region (OCR) increased by 0.8%, compared with the 0.4% increase in the previous quarter (see Annexes A-1A-2 & A-62).
Rentals of private residential properties increased by 0.1% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 1.3% increase in the previous quarter.
Rental Index of private residential properties
Rentals of landed properties decreased by 2.3% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 0.3% increase in the previous quarter. Rentals of non-landed properties increased by 0.4%, compared with the 1.4% increase in the previous quarter.
Rentals of non-landed properties in CCR decreased by 0.7%, compared with the 1.5% increase in the previous quarter. Rentals in RCR increased by 1.6%, compared with the 1.4% increase in the previous quarter.  Rentals in OCR increased by 0.8%, compared with the 1.2% increase in the previous quarter (see Annexes A-3 & A-4).
Launches and Take-up
Developers launched 3,628 uncompleted private residential units (excluding ECs) for sale in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with 2,502 units in the previous quarter (see Annex C-1).
Developers sold 3,281 private residential units (excluding ECs) in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 2,350 units sold in the previous quarter.  (see Annex D).
Number of private housing units launched and sold by developers (excluding ECs)
Developers launched 820 EC units for sale in 3rd Quarter 2019. 426 EC units were sold in the quarter (see Annex F). In comparison, developers did not launch any EC units and sold 10 EC units in the previous quarter.
Resales and Sub-sales
There were 2,378 resale transactions in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 2,371 units transacted in the previous quarter. Resale transactions accounted for 41.3% of all sale transactions in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with 49.7% in the previous quarter (see Annex D).
There were 104 sub-sale transactions in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 45 units transacted in the previous quarter. Sub-sales accounted for 1.8% of all sale transactions in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with 0.9% in the previous quarter (see Annex D).
Number of resale and sub-sale transactions for private residential units (excluding ECs)
Supply in the Pipeline
As at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, there was a total supply of 50,964 uncompleted private residential units (excluding ECs) in the pipeline with planning approvals3, compared with the 50,674 units in the previous quarter (see Annexes E-1 & E-24). Of this number, 31,948 units remained unsold as at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 33,673 units in the previous quarter (see Annexes B-1 & B-2).
After adding the supply of 3,722 EC units in the pipeline, there were 54,686 units in the pipeline with planning approvals (see Annex E-3). Of the EC units in the pipeline, 2,141 units remained unsold. In total, 34,089 units with planning approvals (including ECs) remained unsold, down from 35,538 units in the previous quarter.
Total number of unsold private residential units in the pipeline
Based on the expected completion dates reported by developers, 3,235 units (including ECs) will be completed in the last quarter of 2019.  Another 5,750 units (including ECs) will be completed in 2020.
Pipeline supply of private residential units and ECs (with planning approvals) by expected year of completion

Note: 5,229 private residential units and 855 executive condominiums were completed (i.e. obtained TOP) in 1Q-3Q2019.
Apart from the 34,089 unsold units (including ECs) with planning approval as at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, there is a potential supply of 4,900 units (including ECs) from Government Land Sales (GLS) sites and awarded en-bloc sale sites that have not been granted planning approval yet. These comprise (a) about 4,400 units from awarded GLS sites and Confirmed List sites that have not been awarded yet, and (b) about 500 units from transacted en-bloc sale sites5.
Stock and Vacancy
The stock of completed private residential units (excluding ECs) increased by 278 units in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the increase of 863 units in the previous quarter. The stock of occupied private residential units (excluding ECs) increased by 1,095 units in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the increase of 584 units in the previous quarter. As a result, the vacancy rate of completed private residential units (excluding ECs) decreased to 6.1% as at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, from 6.4% in the previous quarter (see Annex E-1).
Stock and vacancy of private residential units (excluding ECs)
Vacancy rates of completed private residential properties as at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019 in CCR, RCR and OCR were 8.2%, 6.0% and 5.3% respectively, compared with the 7.8%, 6.4% and 5.7% in the previous quarter (see Annex E-4).
OFFICE SPACE
Office market at a glance:
Prices and Rentals
Prices of office space decreased by 3.9% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 0.9% increase in the previous quarter (see Annex A-1). Rentals of office space decreased by 0.6% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the 1.3% increase in the previous quarter (see Annexes A-3 & A-5).
Property Price Index of office space in Central Region
Rental Index of office space in Central Region
Supply in the Pipeline
As at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, there was a total supply of about 738,000 sq m GFA of office space in the pipeline, compared with the 732,000 sq m GFA of office space in the pipeline in the previous quarter (see Annexes E-1 & E-2).
Pipeline supply of office space
Note: 57,333 sq m of office space was completed (i.e. granted TOP) in 1Q-3Q2019
Stock and Vacancy
The amount of occupied office space increased by 71,000 sq m (nett) in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the increase of 35,000 sq m (nett) in the previous quarter. The stock of office space decreased by 4,000 sq m (nett) in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the increase of 7,000 sq m (nett) in the previous quarter. As a result, the island-wide vacancy rate of office space declined to 10.6% as at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, from 11.5% as at the end of the previous quarter (see Annexes A-5 & E-1).
Stock and vacancy of office space
RETAIL SPACE
Retail market at a glance:
Prices and Rentals
Prices of retail space increased by 1.1% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the increase of 0.4% in the previous quarter (see Annex A-1). Rentals of retail space increased by 2.3% in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the decrease of 1.5% in the previous quarter (see Annexes A-3 & A-5).
Property Price Index of retail space in Central Region
Rental Index of retail space in Central Region
Supply in the Pipeline
As at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, there was a total supply of 288,000 sq m GFA of retail space from projects in the pipeline, compared with the 320,000 sq m GFA of retail space in the pipeline in the previous quarter (see Annexes E-1 & E-2).
Pipeline supply of retail space

Note: 143,139 sq m of retail space was completed (i.e. granted TOP) in 1Q-3Q2019.
Stock and Vacancy
The amount of occupied retail space increased by 29,000 sq m (nett) in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the increase of 74,000 sq m (nett) in the previous quarter. The stock of retail space increased by 16,000 sq m (nett) in 3rd Quarter 2019, compared with the increase of 18,000 sq m (nett) in the previous quarter. As a result, the island-wide vacancy rate of retail space decreased to 7.5% as at the end of 3rd Quarter 2019, from 7.7% as at the end of the previous quarter (see Annexes A-5 & E-1).
Stock and vacancy of retail space

URA’S REAL ESTATE INFORMATION SERVICE
More detailed information on the price and rental indices, supply in the pipeline, stock and vacancy rates of the various property sectors can be found in the Real Estate Information System (REALIS), an online database of URA.
More information on REALIS can be found at https://spring.ura.gov.sg/lad/ore/login/index.cfm.
1Statistics in this press release are based on quarter to quarter comparisons, unless otherwise stated.
2The prices of private residential properties are not uniform and vary from project to project. Home-buyers can view more detailed information on transactions of private residential properties at:  https://www.ura.gov.sg/realEstateIIWeb/transaction/search.action. Similar information can also be accessed by users on the go via URA’s iphone/ipad application. The application can be downloaded directly from https://itunes.apple.com/app/property-market-information/id573494340?mt=8.
3
Projects in the pipeline are new development or redevelopment projects with planning approvals, i.e. Provisional Permission (PP) or Written Permission (WP).
4More detailed data on supply in the pipeline by market segment, development status and expected year of completion can be found at https://www.ura.gov.sg/realEstateIIWeb/supply/search.action.
5The en-bloc sales of existing developments are subject to regulatory conditions, such as the issuance of the collective sale order by the Strata Titles Board under the Land Titles (Strata) Act. New private housing supply from these sites is estimated based on their site areas and allowable plot ratios under Master Plan 2014. For each site, the number of units proposed by the developer will be subject to detailed evaluation to determine if it can be supported. En-bloc sale sites sold up to mid-September have been included.

Summary of Key Information for 3rd Quarter 2019
AnnexTitle
Annex A-1 [PDF, 15kb]Comparison of Property Price Index for 2nd Quarter 2019 and 3rd Quarter 2019
Annex A-2 [PDF, 18kb]Price Indices of Non-Landed Properties by Market Segment
Annex A-3 [PDF, 15kb]Comparison of Rental Index for 2nd Quarter 2019 and 3rd Quarter 2019
Annex A-4 [PDF, 19kb]Rental Indices of Non-Landed Properties by Market Segment
Annex A-5 [PDF,138kb]Median Rentals and Vacancy of Office and Retail Space
Annex A-6 [PDF, 20kb]Chart of Property Price Index by Type of Property
Annex A-7 [PDF,16kb]Chart of Residential Property Price Index by Type
Annex B-1 [PDF, 13kb]Number of Unsold Private Residential Units from Projects with Planning Approvals
Annex B-2 [PDF, 18kb]Number of Unsold Private Residential Units from Projects with Planning Approvals by Market Segment
Annex C-1 [PDF, 20kb]Number of Uncompleted Private Residential Units Launched in the Quarter by Market Segment
Annex C-2 [PDF, 124kb]Number of Private Residential Units Sold in the Quarter by Market Segment
Annex D [PDF,150kb]Number of New Sale, Sub-Sale and Resale Transactions for Private Residential Units by Market Segment
Annex E-1 [PDF, 123kb]Stock & Vacancy and Supply in the Pipeline as at End of 3rd Quarter 2019
Annex E-2 [PDF, 128kb]Supply in the Pipeline by Development Status and Expected Year of Completion as at End of 3rd Quarter 2019
Annex E-3 [PDF, 80kb]Pipeline Supply of Private Residential Units and Executive Condominiums by Expected Year of Completion as at End of 3rd Quarter 2019
Annex E-4 [PDF, 17kb]Vacancy of Private Residential Units by Market Segment
Annex F [PDF, 134kb]Number of Executive Condominium Units Launched and Sold in the Quarter


Source: URA