Tuesday, 31 December 2019

Private Home Prices To Increase 2% In 2020 And 2021 - by PropertyGuru



This is lower than the 8% growth in 2018. 
According to the latest Fitch Ratings, private property prices in Singapore is expected to grow by a modest 2% over the next two years, a significant drop compared to the 8% increase in 2018, reported the Business Times.
“We expect home price growth to reflect the recovering real GDP growth rates of 1.5% in both 2020 and 2021, after growth decelerated to 0.6% in H1 2019,” Fitch said in its Global Housing and Mortgage Outlook 2020 report.
From Q3 2018 to Q1 2019, mortgage rate hike and regulatory tightening saw private home prices fell 0.7%. However, property prices have rebounded since Q2 2019 and Fitch is expecting “minor growth” for the rest of the year.
The report also noted that private property prices will continue to rise if borrower affordability is improved, household incomes grow faster than home prices and if interest rates are low, adding: “but if the government views home prices as rising more than is justified by economic fundamentals, we expect that the government would again cool the market through macro-prudential measures.”

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NPL Ratio Is Also Expected To Increase 

Fitch expects the housing NPL (non-performing loan) ratio to slightly increase in the next two years, albeit remaining low at 0.4% to 0.5%, on the back of improving household debt-to-income ratio.
“Mortgage performance will also be supported by continued low unemployment of about 2% in 2020 and 2021,” it said.
Moreover, Fitch does not expect a mortgage rate hike in the near future, supporting borrowers’ ability to pay. Mortgage rates rapidly increased to 2% at the end of the first half of 2019 due to a sharp increase in the benchmark rates like the three-month Singapore Interbank Offered Rate (Sibor).
However, the city-state’s benchmark rate began to decline after the US Federal Reserve unveiled a series of three rate cuts from July this year.
With this, mortgage lending growth is forecasted to remain subdued in the near term.
“After a projected small decline of 0.5% in 2019, we expect 2% annual growth in each of 2020 and 2021 in line with improving market sentiment,” said Fitch.
Looking for a property in Singapore? Visit PropertyGuru’s ListingsProject Reviews and Guides.

Victor Kang, Digital Content Specialist at PropertyGuru, edited this story. To contact him about this or other stories, email victorkang@propertyguru.com.sg

Victor Kang • December 19, 2019

Source: PropertyGuru


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Tuesday, 24 December 2019

Planning To Buy A Resale Flat? Here Are 6 Things To Take Note Of When Choosing The Ideal Home For You - Dollars And Sense

Take note of these steps when you search for your dream HDB resale flat, to minimise any buyer’s regret thereafter.




Since September 2019, the amount of grants given to Singaporeans and Permanent Residents buying resale flats is now at an all-time high.
The Enhanced CPF Housing Grant gives resale flat buyers the same means-tested grant quantum as BTO homebuyers of up to $80,000. There are also resale flat specific grants like the Family Grant of up to $50,000 (for first time buyers) and Proximity Housing Grant of up to $30,000 (for those living near/with their parents/child).
This increase in potential grants, coupled with the relatively stable prices of HDB flat in the resale market makes the prospect of buying a resale flat even more attractive for Singaporeans. However, choosing the right resale flat poses additional challenges, compared to a BTO unit.
Here’s are 6 tips to help you make a most informed decision when making your resale flat purchase.

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#1 Check The Remaining Lease Of The Flat

Every BTO flat comes with a fresh 99-year lease. For resale flats, however, have differing length of leases remaining.
Therefore, you should make a point check the remaining lease of the flat, and to consider if the flat is worth the price you are going to pay.
To check the remaining lease of the flat you intend to move in, you can make use of HDB Map Services under “Housing” option, enter the postal code or address of the flat, and you should be able to check the remaining lease.

#2 Check The Ethnic Integration Policy (EIP) And Singapore PR (SPR) Quotas

Before buying a resale flat, please check that you are well within the ethnic quota (and SPR quota for non-Malaysian PRs) of the block and neighbourhood.
If you and your spouse are of different ethnicities, you can choose to classify your household’s ethnicity according to the race stated on the NRIC of either co-owner. Note that your selected ethnicity will be applied when you sell your flat in the resale market subsequently.
The EIP and SPR quotas are updated on the first day of every month. As the quotas will affect any resale applications in that month, you might get a different result if you submit your application later after too much time has elapsed.
To check the eligibility of buying a resale flat of a particular block or neighbourhood, you can use the HDB e-Service.

#3 Evaluate The Amenities And Surroundings Around The Flat You’re Eyeing

When choosing a resale flat, do take note of your lifestyle and evaluate what amenities you require that will complement it.
For instance, some would like to live near supermarkets for convenience or transport amenities for connectivity. For couples with kids, they are usually inclined to move to close proximity of their preferred primary school for their child.
You could make trips to visit at different times of day (morning, noon and evening), to get a better sense of the ambient noise level. Flats located near major roads tend to be noisier during rush hour or even late at night, while schools tend to get livelier in the day during school-term.

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#4 Check For Loanshark Graffiti And Observe Neighbouring Units

If a flat has been a target of loansharks, the seller will probably attempt to clear any visible traces before the viewing. However, you may still notice graffiti at the corridors of surrounding levels and units, as well as the void deck and stairs. Also, look out for any fresh coat of paint and observe closely for any signs of graffiti under the paintwork.
You should also take some time to observe the neighbouring units for any unusual activity or noise. Be reminded that if the neighbouring flat is facing troubles with loansharks, it may spill over and affect you.
Also, take note of any private CCTV camera pointing towards the corridor. While the owners may like to have added security, this may also be a sign of other safety concerns.

#5 Ask The Seller And Agent About The Reason For Sale

“What is the reason for selling your house?” This question may seem innocuous, but it can potentially save you from any hassle in the future.
This is because as a buyer, you should be expecting reasonable responses such as upgrading to a bigger flat or private property or moving in with aging parents, and not something sinister such as a distressed sale.
If in doubt, ask the property agent about the history of the flat, as they obliged to share any relevant information about the flat. You can also check if the flat has appeared in the news for the wrong reasons as well.

#6 Walk Around To Get A Feel Of The Size And Layout Of The Flat

Our individual preferences for space and threshold for what is spacious or cosy may differ, and only by walking around and getting a feel for the space can we make an informed judgement.
When you’re there, check the facing of the main windows, and if does face a less than desirable direction (such as the evening sun), know that you may end spending more on electricity bills for fans or air-conditioning and be less comfortable.
While viewing the flat, inspect and observe the condition. Look out for signs of leaks, cracks, mildew and spalling concrete on ceilings and walls, as it all adds to the cost of renovation. If the fittings and plumbing are aging, you would need to factor in additional costs to get them replaced or repaired  during renovation.
At the end of the day, you might be fine with some of these drawbacks or minor flaws of the space, but it makes sense to be aware of them, and perhaps use it to negotiate for a better price.
Remember, buying a flat is a major decision that would have a large effect on your life. As with any big-ticket purchase, you should be making a thorough and careful evaluation, so as to eliminate any unexpected surprises or regrets that may arise from a hasty decision.
DollarsAndSense.sg aims to provide interesting, bite-sized and relevant financial articles.




Source: Dollars And sense



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Private home prices set to grow 2%: Fitch - The Straits Times

Prices rebounded slightly in the second quarter of 2019, and Fitch Ratings projects minor growth for the rest of this year.PHOTO: ST FILE

Modest rise likely next year and in 2021 but govt may step in if market heats up

Singapore private residential prices are projected to grow by around 2 per cent next year and in 2021, according to Fitch Ratings.
The trajectory is about the same as this year's, and down from last year's nearly 8 per cent growth.
"We expect home price growth to reflect the recovering real gross domestic product growth rates of 1.5 per cent in both 2020 and 2021 after growth decelerated to 0.6 per cent in the first half of 2019," the credit ratings agency said in its Global Housing and Mortgage Outlook 2020 report out yesterday.

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Private home prices declined by 0.7 per cent from the third quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year after the July 2018 property cooling measures and mortgage rate increases, which both dampened market sentiment.
Prices rebounded slightly in the second quarter of this year, and Fitch Ratings projects minor growth for the rest of the year. It said improving borrower affordability, as household incomes grow faster than home prices, and lower interest rates will contribute to rising home prices.
But it added: "If the Government views home prices as rising more than is justified by economic fundamentals, we expect (it) would again cool the market through macro-prudential measures."

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Fitch Ratings said it does not expect an increase in Singapore mortgage rates in the near future, which would support borrowers' ability to pay. Home loan rates rose rapidly to 2 per cent at the end of the first half of this year due to a sharp rise in benchmark rates such as the three-month Singapore Interbank Offered Rate or Sibor. However, Sibor has since dropped following a series of three rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve beginning in July.
Fitch Ratings also expects sour home loans to increase slightly but stay low, with a non-performing ratio of 0.4 to 0.5 per cent in 2020-2021, supported by the improving household debt-to-income ratio. Mortgage performance will also be supported by continued low unemployment of about 2 per cent in 2020 and 2021, it said.
For banks, Fitch Ratings forecasts mortgage lending growth to remain weak in the near term.

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"After a projected small decline of 0.5 per cent in 2019, we expect 2 per cent annual growth in each of 2020 and 2021, in line with improving market sentiment. The lending growth slowdown in 2019 reflected the increase of the additional buyer's stamp duty and tightening of loan-to-value limits in July 2018."
However, the growth is expected to remain limited, reflecting expectations for a slowing annual population growth of below 1 per cent, and the high likelihood that the Government would apply cooling measures if home prices show signs of overheating, it said.

PUBLISHED
DEC 19, 2019, 5:00 AM SGT
Ann Williams

Source: The Straits Times


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In 2020, we know HDBs are a depreciating asset. Now what? - by 99.co


Image by inmacus from Pixabay 

By the time you’ve read this, everyone from the government to property agents would have told you that HDBs are not assets meant to appreciate or be traded like bitcoin. Instead, they will remain affordable housing for the masses – and they will stay that way for the forseeable future.
With this in mind, as a prospective HDB buyer, here are few ‘common sense‘ things you need to do:

Temper your expectations when you sell your HDB…(or just don’t sell it)

Give it up. The days of profiting massively from your HDB flat as dead as MySpace and Google Glasses. 2013 was a death knell for the HDB resale market, and it hasn’t recovered ever since. With reduced appreciation, and accrued interest assuming you used CPF to pay for your flat, consider yourself lucky if you even make money from your flat. This also means the longer you hold on to your HDB, the more accrued interest you’ll rack up, the less money you’ll make.
Therefore, if you do want to upgrade from HDB, you should do it ASAP. Preferably at MOP.  That said, if you intend to live in your HDB forever, the capital appreciation/accrued interest doesn’t really matter.




Buy the most affordable HDB for your needs 

Singaporeans would be really unhappy if public house costs waaaay too much, amirite? If the government intends to keep HDB prices low for the next 10, 20 or even 40 years, then it makes sense to purchase the most affordable one – even if the lease is running out. Why? Here’s the reasoning:
  • HDB flats are a depreciating assets
  • HDB flats are starting to be affordable and will remain affordable for the foreseable future
  •  Therefore, it makes sense to lock up as little money as possible in something that has stagnated growth.
  • Even if you bought an old flat and the lease did run out, the fact that HDB flats would still need to be affordable to future 20-something 30-something years means you should be able to afford them if you invested your money dillgently.

Invest the money elsewhere

If you bought the most afforadable flat for your needs, that would leave you with significant liquid cash/CPF to invest. Now, you save up and eventually invest in a condo locally, or invest in the stock market. You could start a business. Or buy gold. But the whole idea here is to invest in something that has the potential to outperform the stagnating price of a HDB flat.  




Don’t buy million dollar HDB flats unless you really really really know what you’re doing

Come on guys. If you’re going to blow a million bucks on property, I think at least you could do is to make sure the property has a decent shot at appreciation. And by this, I’m saying you should seriously consider buy a condo. Why?
Because while HDBs need to be affordable moving forward, condos don’t share that burden.
Source: 99.co (24 Dec 2019)





Saturday, 21 December 2019

Real Estate Investment Volume In Singapore Drops 31.8% In 2019 - By PropertyGuru


However, this is year’s performance is still “respectable”, according to CBRE. 
Given the slower en bloc sales market, Singapore saw total real estate investment volume drop 31.8% to $22.83 billion as at 13 December, which is the lowest since 2016, reported The Business Times citing CBRE.
Despite the decline, CBRE still considered this year’s performance as “respectable” due to the sizeable transactions posted, such as Mapletree Business City II, Duo and 30 Raffles Place (previously known as Chevron House).
The residential sector drove this year’s investment volume, accounting for 32.1%. This was mainly due to public sales of nine Government Land Sales (GLS) sites.
CBRE, however, does not expect the trend to continue considering the build-up of unsold housing stock. The government has also reduced the supply of land for residential development under the first half of 2020’s GLS programme.
The office sector accounted for 31.1% of this year’s investment volume, while the hospitality sector saw transaction volumes quadruple to $2.15 billion in 2019 from $544.7 million in 2018. The hike was mainly driven by growing tourist arrivals from new attractions as well as major events, exhibitions and conferences held within the city-state.
Looking ahead, CBRE Senior Executive Director of Capital Markets Michael Tay expects investment volume for 2020 to remain resilient due to anecdotal evidence of investors exhibiting interest in Singapore assets, which could boost foreign capital inflows.
The city-state registered a higher proportion of foreign capital in 2019 at 31.1%, versus 2018’s 24.3%.
Tay expects lower interest rates to support strong capital flows into real estate, with active fundraising and cheap debt in the capital markets.
Looking for a property in Singapore? Visit PropertyGuru’s ListingsProject Reviews and Guides.

Victor Kang, Digital Content Specialist at PropertyGuru, edited this story. To contact him about this or other stories, email victorkang@propertyguru.com.sg

Victor Kang • December 20, 2019

Source: PropertyGuru





20 Noob Questions About Property, Answered (Part 2) - By 99.co




Young and clueless about buying property? It’s ok we’ve all been there. We asked 10 millennials to submit their burning questions so we can answer them here.



Where is the best place to buy property?

To stay in? It’s subjective.
As for property investments, some areas do better than others. It helps to look at property trends, such as the percentage of capital appreciation and possible issues that affect its rise and dip, when deciding. Here’s a list of HDB towns that have seen the biggest rise in flat value over 15 years.
If you want a nice balance between the two, we suggest picking an area you like and expanding from there. For example, if you’ve lived in Eunos or Aljunied your whole life, you can stick to that area or look for property with equally good investment potential in the East such as Paya Lebar, Bedok, Tampines and Changi – especially since the Changi Business Hub is coming up!

How do people under 30 afford to buy a home and renovate it?

Don’t worry, my young padawan. BTOs, and HDBs in general, are priced so that the average person can afford it. There are also plenty of government subsidies to help you! You can afford a flat even with a modest, honest income of $2,000 to $3,000.
As for renovations, well, some people can probably consult the Bank of Parents, which usually offers zero percent interest instalments. For those who are not so lucky, there are bank renovation loans with a typical interest rate of five per cent per annum. Or three per cent, if you snagged a promo deal. Renovation loans start from $5,000 to a maximum amount of $30,000 (or six times your monthly income, whichever is higher) per person. Saw some banks offering zero percent instalment plans? Do it if you can pay off within the interest-free period (typically six months).
Alternatively, you can:
– lower the total reno cost by opting in for HDB floors and bathroom fittings during the BTO process; they are more affordable and will be deducted from your CPF along with the rest of your HDB flat’s price.
– do your renovation in parts, focusing on essential areas like kitchen and toilets first and complete the rest when you’re financially ready.
– spend a little more on a resale flat with brand new or good condition fittings that suit your taste. BTOs that have just hit their MOP (Minimum Occupation Period) are good candidates.
A renovation (this includes lighting, cabinetry, white goods and furnishings) costs $40,000 to $60,000 on average depending on size of home.



What happens to a flat in the case of divorce?


It depends on whether:
– the HDB flat is a matrimonial asset
This typically means the flat was bought under HDB’s fiancé-fiancee scheme. Find out how else a flat can be considered a matrimonial asset.
For matrimonial assets, unless the two individuals have a written agreement on how to split it, the court will decide who gets to keep it and how it should be divided.
– and if the individuals have children
Having a family nucleus meets one of HDB’s criteria for retention of the HDB flat.
No children? You can retain the flat under the Single Singapore Citizen.
If other eligibilities are met, the individual may even retain it with a parent or sibling’s help. If you are not eligible to retain the property, you will have to sell the flat. The sale proceeds from this flat will first be used to pay off mortgage loans and CPF reimbursements. Its remainder will be then be distributed accordingly.
We wrote a lengthier article on this matter.

Should I keep my property, or sell it? 

First, you need to understand why you want to sell your property.
Start with having a quantifiable reason. Simply wanting to “make more money” won’t cut it. On the other hand, knowing you need to make $100,000 profit will help you decide if a) selling your current property can make you a profit and b) if the profit if substantial enough. If selling your flat will — after deducting cost of next home, its renovation, and stuff like accrued CPF interest  — only earn you a profit of $40,000, perhaps selling your property is not the best idea.
If you want to sell your HDB to upgrade to a condominium, whether you sell it before or after purchasing the condominium matters. Buying it before means having to pay an ABSD fee of 12 per cent. If you don’t dispose the HDB in six months, you will not get back the ABSD fee. An unfinished loan from your HDB may cause a low LTV, too. You’ll have to pay for more cash upfront.
Buying it after? You need to consider where you will be staying before moving in to your condominium.


When is the best time to sell my property?


The answer is — in my colleague Ryan’s words — both simple and useless. The simple answer: Sell when property prices are at a peak, and buy your next property when property prices are low.
Here’s why it’s useless: To time your decisions according to these two factors, and get it right, is hard. The last property peak happened in 2013, and the prices came tumbling down soon after. Market timing is not a great strategy for most home buyers because you only hear about it in the news, and by that time, it’s probably too late. Plus, the average person doesn’t have data tools to track the market.
Sell your property when doing so would make a profit. The timing should mostly be based on your financial situation, not the market.

What is a property valuation and Cash Over Valuation (COV)?

A property valuation is an estimate of a specific property’s value, as provided by a licensed appraiser. Each appraiser can come up with a different value. A bank loan is based on the lower of the property price or valuation, and stamp duties are based on the higher of the property price or valuation.
Cash Over Valuation happens when you agree to buy a resale property above its actual valuation. If a resale unit is valued by a licensed appraiser at $500,000, but you have already agreed on a purchase price of $550,000, then the COV will be $50,000. COV is not covered by the bank loan.

What should I should look out for when buying a property for investment?

The six main things to take note of when buying an investment property are rental yield, capital appreciation, maintenance cost, rentability, and the URA masterplan.
Rental yield: How much can you earn through rent?
This refers to how much profit you can make when renting out your property. The gross rental yield is the amount of rental income vs the purchase price of the property, while the net rental yield takes into account your profit after deducting things like cost of maintenance, property tax and renovation. A typical rental yield for residential property is between two to three per cent, and commercial property is between three to five per cent. Here, we explain how to calculate rental yield.
Rentability: Can I find tenants for my property?
First, decide on the demographic you want to rent to, and then decide if the property — from its location to amenities — fits that demographic. For instance, a working single expat, a family of expats, and a student tenant all have different needs in terms of accessibility. Do they drive or take public transport? Do they need to be near pre-schools or colleges?
Consider these:
– a unit with high rentability (near town, walking distance to MRT, etc) can have low rental yield but low vacancy.
– a unit you bought at a low price can get you high rental yield, but if it’s in an ulu place then it has low rentability.
– leasehold and older condos tend to provide better rental yield as their purchase price is lower than freehold and newer units.


Capital appreciation: How much can a property’s value rise?
Capital appreciation refers to the rising value of your property, as compared to the purchase price. How much you earn can eventually go to a property upgrade or your retirement fund. Capital appreciation is fairly speculative, but past transactions of your unit or – if your property is new – those surrounding your property can be a guide. Compare it against at least five transactions for a better gauge. Some 99.co listings come with a history of transactions.
Price Per Square Foot (psf): Is this property worth purchasing?
Consider if the psf is worth a purchase by comparing it against the PSFs of surrounding property. While new private property is usually more expensive than a resale one, there should not be a huge discrepancy between the two — unless justifiable due to unique factors that only the new property has. Smaller units tend to have higher psf. We explained how to use psf as a barometer in Part 1.
Maintenance cost: Can I afford it?
Two properties can be of the same price, but one may have a higher maintenance cost than the other. How much are you willing to pay?
Maintenance bills for condos also come quarterly (not every month, as is the case for HDBs), and is typically $1,200 to $1,400 each time. High end condominiums with concierge services can cost even more. There might be an interest rate of 15 per cent per annum for late payment of maintenance fees.
District changes: How will future developments or MRT stations affect my property?
Check the URA masterplan to see upcoming changes in that area. Do you see potential in the changes, and will they directly benefit your development? One thing to note is that upcoming changes have already been factored into the cost of the property.

What should I know about my tenant before renting out my flat?

Basically, you need to suss out whether your tenant is a reliable person who will pay on time. First, ask for a work pass or student pass. Check if they are valid or call the organisations, as these passes can be faked.
Next, find out how they will be paying the rent. Some arrangements are riskier than others. For instance, a student who is working part-time to pay the rent has a higher risk of being late with payments as compared to a student whose rent is paid for by their parents. Most parents will not risk their children’s accommodation with late payments.
If they are expats or foreign workers, ask if they are self-employed. A self-employed tenant might break the lease if his business is not doing well, whereas an employee with a stable income should have no problem paying rent. Even better are employees with housing allowances.
Remember, it’s not so much about how much they are earning but how stable their income is. Knowing the above allows you to assess your risk tolerance.
New to the scene? We suggest hiring agents. You can DIY when you’ve learnt the ropes.



What should I know about financing a home?


Familiarise yourself with these acronyms: AIP, LTV, TDSR and MSR.
Approval in Principle (AIP) refers to how much a bank is willing to loan you based on your credit score and income. This will help narrow down the type and cost of properties you can look at.
Loan-to-Value (LTV) refers to the ratio of bank loan you may receive to the value of the property. Currently, the maximum LTV one can get is 90 per cent for HDB loans and 75 per cent for bank loans. This means 10 or 25 per cent of the property value will be paid in cash or CPF. The LTV is affected by the nature of the property, your credit score, and more.
Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) is a cap on the total amount you can borrow when applying for a home loan. This was put in place to stop people from taking big loans they cannot afford to pay back. Under the TDSR framework, your monthly loan repayment (which includes other outstanding debt you have such as on credit cards) cannot exceed 60 per cent of your monthly income. If you earn $6,000, your monthly loan repayment cannot exceed $3,600. More on that here.
Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) is the HDB equivalent of TDSR. Here, your maximum home loan repayment is capped at 30 per cent of your monthly income. The MSR also does not take into consideration other outstanding debts; it is a calculation solely on your home loan. Here’s what to do if you don’t meet your MSR or if you earn a variable income that is hard to calculate.

When should I consider refinancing?

Refinancing is to switch to a home loan package with a lower interest rate. Usually, people start to refinance after four years as bank rates tend to jump from the fourth or fifth year onwards.
You should refinance only when the savings from the lower interest rate can cover the conveyancing fees (or “lawyer fees”) within the first year. Conveyancing fees are about $2,500 to $3,000.
If the odds don’t seem good to you, don’t refinance. If you have a lock-in with an exorbitant penalty fee, don’t refinance. Read this to avoid common mistakes Singaporeans make when refinancing.
Got questions about property? Voice your thoughts in our comments section or on our Facebook community page.
Looking for a property? Find the home of your dreams today on Singapore’s largest property portal 99.co! You can also access a wide range of tools to calculate your down payments and loan repayments, to make an informed purchase.
12 min read ·