Tuesday 16 June 2015

Suburban condo rents fare worse - SRX

CONDO rents declined last month in the wake of new homes flooding the market but overall rents of Housing Board flats stayed unchanged.

Rents of private apartments slipped 0.6 per cent from April to May, according to SRX Property flash estimates. They are also down 6 per cent from May last year.
The cause is one of simple supply and demand, with many completed units coming on to the market, especially in the suburbs, said SLP International executive director Nicholas Mak.
Rents for suburban condos fared the worse in May, down 1.5 per cent from April and 6.1 per cent below May last year.
Central region condo rents rose 0.2 per cent in May but were down 5.6 per cent from a year earlier while city fringe rents dipped 0.6 per cent in May but were down 4.5 per cent year on year.
Mr Mak noted that central region and city fringe rents will continue to be supported by a "flight to quality", as rents weaken and tenants find better- located units for a comparable rent.
The increasing number of private homes to be completed in the coming months will send rents down by up to 7 per cent for the year, said R'ST Research director Ong Kah Seng.
Condos that received temporary occupation permits in the first quarter included the 501-unit Hedges Park Condominium in Flora Drive, Loyang, and Woodhaven in Woodgrove Avenue in Woodlands, which has 298 units and 39 terraced homes.
Archipelago in Bedok Reservoir Road, which has 553 units and 24 houses, the 622-unit The Luxurie in Compassvale Road and the 610-unit River Isles in Edgedale Plains are expected to be completed this year.
Overall HDB rents were down 2.3 per cent in May from the same month a year earlier with some segments faring better than others.
Mature estate rents fell 0.3 per cent from April to May and were down 1.8 per cent year on year.
Rents at non-mature estates rose 0.2 per cent in May but were off 3 per cent from the same month last year.
The HDB rental market has been affected by many mass market condos competing for tenants as well, said ERA Realty key executive officer Eugene Lim. A two-bedroom mass market condo unit used to rent for just over $3,000 a month but can now go for under that, he noted.
"A further slight decline is possible for HDB rents, but I don't expect a major decline as a support level has already been found," he said.
Five-room HDB flats are now rented at $2,300 to $2,400 a month. A five-roomer in a non-mature estate could be let at $2,200 to $2,300 while one in a mature estate may go for about $2,500, he noted.
"The difference used to be more. For example, a five-room HDB flat in Clementi could have been rented out at close to $3,000 per month two years ago," added Mr Lim.
"We're looking at an across- the-board weakening of HDB rents, starting from last year. This year and going into next year, we'll see many new mass market condos coming onstream as well. All of them will be fighting for tenants."
Published on Jun 11, 2015

Condo resale prices remain flat in May - SRX

RESALE prices of private condominiums and apartments remained flat in May, compared to April.

Notably, prices in Core Central Region fell by 1.2 per cent, but this was offset by both the city fringe and suburbs where prices rose 0.8 per cent and 0.3 per cent respectively, SRX Property data show.
The Business Times had reported earlier that the subdued luxury condo market here has seen well-heeled buyers scooping up some high-end condo units this year, because they find the valuations very compelling.
Confirming this trend is the median transaction over X-value (TOX), which showed that the transactions in District 9 (Orchard, Cairnhill, River Valley) were negative S$20,000. This means that majority of the buyers in this district had bought units averaging S$20,000 below the market value estimated by SRX.
SRX likens the TOX to the previously used cash-over-valuation (COV), except that the market value is now computer-generated by SRX.
Both Districts 9 and 15 (Katong, Joo Chiat, Amber) reported the most negative median TOX.
On the whole, ERA Realty key executive officer Eugene Lim noted little price movement from December last year, an indication that prices may have flattened out.
"A plausible reason for the marginal decrease in prices from December to May could be the difficulty some landlords face in securing tenants. With a tight foreign labour policy, changes in the property tax scheme and monthly mortgage payments, home owners who are unable to rent out their vacant houses would find that selling off the property quickly would be a better alternative than leaving it empty.
"Therefore, this has put some downward pressure on resale prices as these owners would be more willing to let go of their property at slightly lower prices," he said.
According to the SRX Non-landed Private Residential Price Index, prices have fallen 2.8 per cent year on year from May 2014, and were down 6.4 per cent from the peak in January 2014.
The price change in April has also been revised from a 0.7 per cent decrease to a nearly flat 0.1 per cent decrease.
Resale volume has improved. About 543 private residential units were resold in May, a 4.2 per cent increase compared to 521 units resold in April.
Year on year, resale volume was 33.1 per cent higher compared with 408 units resold in May 2014.
Looking ahead, consultants expect prices to continue to fall slightly this year, on the back of increasing vacancies and interest rate increases.
That said, they have also warned that thin transaction volumes from month to month are likely to make monthly price indices such as SRX's more volatile.
By Lee Meixian
Singapore
Source: SRX

HDB resale prices may be bottoming out: Analysts - SRX

THE recent stabilisation of resale prices for Housing Board flats has surprised some property analysts, who say this may point to an earlier-than-expected bottoming out of the market.

After months of declines, prices finally inched up 0.2 per cent between March and April, and stayed constant from April to last month, according to latest data from SRX Property.
Not only have prices stabilised, but more resale flats have also been sold this year.
Except for March, the first five months this year saw higher resale volumes compared with last year. In May, for example, some 1,575 flats were sold, up about 19 per cent from the 1,320 units sold last year.
Some experts believe the rise in transactions is a strong sign that prices are ready to bounce back soon.
"I was expecting the downward trend to continue," said ERA Realty key executive officer Eugene Lim. "But resale volume has crept up. It's a sign that more buyers are coming back into the market."
OrangeTee senior manager of research and consultancy Wong Xian Yang said prices are getting more "resilient" as sellers are becoming more resistant to slashing prices.
Said Mr Wong: "Higher transaction volumes also make the figures more reliable because of the bigger sample size."
This is good news for sellers like technician Ken Quek, 41, who put his four-room Bukit Panjang flat on the market two weeks ago.
"I was slightly worried about prices falling. We are upgrading to a five-room flat closer to my in-laws, so I was hoping to get a better price," said Mr Quek.
But Mr Lim and Mr Wong warned that monthly data tends to be more volatile than quarterly figures, and they do not rule out a further price slide.
"It could go down again, but this year's drop will be less than last year's," said Mr Lim.
According to SRX Property, resale prices have fallen by about 11 per cent since their peak in 2013.
Other experts are less optimistic about a market recovery.
Pointing to ongoing cooling measures and affordable Build-to-Order flat prices, SLP International Property Consultants research head Nicholas Mak expects demand for resale flats to be dampened.
"There is no catalyst to spur demand and raise prices," he said, adding that the higher resale volume could be supply-led because upgraders moving into new condominiums and BTO flats have to put their old flats on the market.
R'ST Research director Ong Kah Seng described the current demand as mostly opportunistic, with buyers swooping in as prices fall.
He added that resale prices have also yet to drop to levels before 2009, when property prices started to surge.
Experts point out that any price recovery would also depend on factors such as whether the Government relaxes cooling measures, and whether interest rates go up, as these will affect demand.
Said Mr Ong: "If we have stagnant prices for at least three months to half a year, then we know we have bottomed."
Published on Jun 9, 2015

Friday 12 June 2015

Tenants' market seen extending into '16 as condo rents dip in May - SRX

Singapore
RENTALS for condominiums and private apartments dipped 0.6 per cent in May, leading analysts to affirm the trend of a tenants' market which they say may extend into 2016.
SLP International executive director Nicholas Mak said: "This is mainly due to the new supply outweighing demand, especially in the suburbs."
More project completions have led to higher competition for tenants, with even existing tenants scouting around for better deals now that the bargaining power is back in their hands.
Mr Mak also noted a gradual "flight to quality", where tenants move to better-located premises when their leases expire. This would contribute to a support of rental rates in Core Central Region, followed by the city fringe.
In May, rents in the prime central area bucked the trend with a 0.2 per cent rise, while rentals in the city fringe and suburbs fell 0.6 per cent and 1.5 per cent respectively, according to the SRX Property Price Index for non-landed private residential rentals released on Wednesday.
ERA Realty key executive officer Eugene Lim noted that while the non-landed private residential rental market had shown signs of recovery in April (a 0.1 per cent uptick), May's performance was "pessimistic".
"This puts initial projections of a market recovery into doubt. We have to adopt a wait-and-see attitude for a longer period of time before the market can be said to have stabilised," he said.
R'ST Research director Ong Kah Seng added that overall leasing demand remained weak, as companies cut back on expatriates' housing budget. Rents in May were down 6 per cent year on year, and down 11.7 per cent from its peak in January 2013, SRX data showed.
Private rental volume fell slightly. About 3,337 units were rented in May, 3 per cent lower than in April, but Mr Lim of ERA believes that the strong 6.2 per cent year-on-year growth indicates an underlying demand for rental properties still.
Consultants expect rents to continue to fall, as 2015 and 2016 see record numbers of private residential units completed.
"Looking forward, it is likely that transaction volumes remain robust on the back of depressed rents. This, coupled with higher numbers of available units, suggests strongly that it will be a tenant's market for this year and next," Mr Lim said.
On the public housing front, HDB rents were flat in May compared to April, SRX data showed. Rents of HDB three and five-room flats fell 0.5 per cent and 1.1 per cent respectively, while four-room and executive flats saw a 0.4 per cent and 2 per cent increase in rents.
HDB rent change in April has also been revised from a 0.7 per cent decrease to a 0.5 per cent decrease.
HDB rental volume rose slightly in May, with about 1,798 flats rented, a 1.6 per cent increase from 1,770 units in April.
"Overall HDB rents are quite stable, and have good stable demand for S$2,400 and below," said Mr Lim.

By Lee Meixian

Non-landed private rents slipped, HDB rents flat in May. Volume increased year-on-year. - SRX

Headline: Non-landed private rents slipped, HDB rents flat in May. Volume increased year-on-year.
A. Non-Landed Private Residential Rental Market
1. Private rents slipped. According to the SRX Property Price Index for Non-landed Private Residential Rentals, rents decreased by 0.6% in May 2015 compared to April 2015. Non-landed Private Residential units in RCR and OCR saw decreases in rents of  0.6% and 1.5% respectively, while CCR experienced a 0.2% increase in rents. 


According to the SRX Property Price Index for Non-landed Private Rentals:
· Year-on-year, rents in May 2015 are down 6.0% from May 2014.
· Rents in May are 11.7% down compared with its peak in January 2013.
· Rents change in April has been revised from no change to a 0.1% increase.

2. Rental volume dropped slightly.  According to the SRX Property, an estimated 3,337 Non-landed Private Residential units were rented in May 2015. This represented a 3.0% decrease from 3,439 units rented in April 2015.
· Year-on-year, rental volume in May 2015 is 6.2% higher than 3,142 units rented in May 2014.
 

B. HDB Rental Market
1. HDB rents flat in May.  According to the SRX Property Price Index for HDB Rentals, rents were flat in May 2015 compared to April. HDB 3 and 5 Room flats posted a 0.5% and 1.1% decrease in rents respectively, while 4 Room and Executive flats saw a 0.4% and 2.0% increase in rents respectively. 


According to the SRX Property Price Index for HDB Rentals:
· Year-on-year, rents in May 2015 are down 2.3% from May 2014.
· Rents in May are 6.0% down compared with its peak in August 2013.
· Rents change in April has been revised from a 0.7% decrease to a 0.5% decrease.
 
According to the SRX Property Price Sub-Indices for HDB Rentals in Mature and Non-mature Estates:
· Rents in Mature Estates dropped by 0.3%, while posted a 0.2% increase in Non-mature Estates in May 2015.
· Year-on-year, rents of Non-mature Estates in May 2015 have dropped 3.0% from May 2014.
· Year-on-year, rents of Mature Estates in May 2015 have dropped 1.8% from May 2014.

2. HDB rental volume increased slightly.  According to the SRX Property, an estimated 1,798 HDB flats were rented in May 2015, a 1.6% increase from 1,770 units rented in April 2015.
· Year-on-year, rental volume in May 2015 is 3.6% higher compared to 1,735 units rented in May 2014.


Source: SRX (10 Jun 2015)

Non-landed private rents fall 0.6 per cent in May - AsiaOne

SINGAPORE - Non-landed private rents fell 0.6 per cent in May, with a year-on-year decrease of 6 per cent, according to the SRX Property data report.

Rental volume fell by 3 per cent with only 3,337 non-landed private residential units rented in May as compared to 3,439 in April. Year-on-year, rental volume in May 2015 is 6.2 per cent higher than that in May 2014.

Meanwhile the HDB rental market stayed flat in May compared to April.

HDB 3- and 5-room flats posted a 0.5 per cent and 1.1 per cent decrease in rents respectively, while 4-room and executive flats saw a 0.4 per cent and 2.0 per cent increase in rents respectively.

Year-on-year, rents in May 2015 are down 2.3 per cent from May 2014.

HDB rental volume increased by 1.6 per cent with an estimated 1,798 HDB flats rented in May 2015, as compared to 1,770 units rented in April 2015.

Year-on-year, rental volume in May 2015 is 3.6 per cent higher than that in May 2014.


Wednesday, Jun 10, 2015
SRX Property

Source: AsiaOne

Foreigners find gems in high-end condos - AsiaOne

LUXURY condos in Singapore priced at S$10 million and above have drawn a host of interesting buyers, mostly foreigners, this year.

Besides Alibaba co-founder Sun Tongyu, who paid S$51 million for the sole penthouse at Wing Tai's Le Nouvel Ardmore freehold project in April, other corporate bigwigs have also surfaced in the list of high-end condo buyers here this year. Mr Sun, who invests in startups these days, is a Chinese citizen and a Singapore permanent resident (PR).

In another posh residential area of Singapore, Hong Kong businessman Mahesh Buxani shelled out S$22.5 million for a penthouse at Nassim Park Residences, also in April. He picked up the unit in the resale market. The price works out to S$3,271 per square foot based on the strata area, which is nearly 6,900 sq ft. The luxurious duplex unit comes with its own pool, four bedrooms, and living, dining and family areas.

Mr Buxani and his brother Haresh run M Bux International in Hong Kong, set up by their father Udhav Buxani. The group's core business is in garment trading and import/export, but the brothers are said to have made some smart property acquisitions during the 2003 property downturn triggered by the Sars outbreak. The family lives in a grand mansion in Hong Kong's posh residential district The Peak.

Nassim Park Residences, where Mr Mahesh Buxani has bought a penthouse, is an exclusive low-rise freehold condo in Singapore with just 100 units developed by UOL Group, Kheng Leong and Orix Corporation. The developers roped in big-name designers - Singapore-based Chan Soo Khian of SCDA Architects, French interior designer Christian Liaigre and Japanese landscape architect Shunmyo Masuno - for the project, which received Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP) in 2011.

At Marina Bay Suites, a regional executive at Facebook is said to be the buyer of a nearly 4,700 sq ft penthouse that went for close to S$11.3 million or slightly more than S$2,400 psf earlier this year. A larger penthouse in the development, spanning 8,500 sq ft, on the top two levels of the 66-storey project was recently sold to a Chinese citizen at slightly above S$19.5 million - or about S$2,290 psf. Buyers of both units are Singapore PRs.

Another China buyer last month also picked up a 3,520 sq ft unit on the fourth floor of Corals at Keppel Bay for S$10.42 million - or S$2,960 psf. The unit was sold by the project's developer.

Both Corals at Keppel Bay and Marina Bay Suites are on sites that have balance lease terms of close to 91 years.

Over at Cuscaden Walk near the prime Orchard Road shopping belt, two Iranians are understood to have acquired an apartment at Boulevard Vue from the project's developer, Far East Organisation. They paid S$15 million or S$3,350 psf for the nearly 4,500 sq ft unit a few months ago.

In January this year, Bukit Sembawang is understood to have sold the last remaining unit at Paterson Suites to a Taiwanese, who is a Singapore PR, for S$13.9 million. The penthouse has a strata area of 6,663 sq ft inclusive of double-volume void space in the living and dining areas as well as 1,787 sq ft of open area such as the roof terrace, swimming pool and planter boxes. The 102-unit freehold project, comprising two towers of 22 storeys, received TOP in 2010.

The subdued luxury condo market here has also seen a few Singaporeans scooping up high-end condos this year.

Besides the S$12.2 million or S$2,028 psf purchase of a penthouse in St Regis Residences by Yun Nam Hair Care owner Andy Chua from Japanese tycoon Katsumi Tada in February, at least one other Singapore citizen has paid more than S$10 million for a unit in the posh 999-year leasehold development this year.

Harish Manwani - the former chief operating officer of Unilever who in March was appointed global executive adviser at Blackstone - is said to have bought a 5,543 sq ft apartment at St Regis Residences in April. He paid S$11.8 million or S$2,129 psf for the unit. The India-born Mr Manwani is a Singapore citizen.

Savills Singapore research head Alan Cheong said well-heeled buyers are finding valuations in Singapore's high-end condo market "very compelling". "This is obvious when these widely travelled international investors compare our luxury prices with those in Hong Kong and London. For example, in Hong Kong, a 4,664 sq ft penthouse unit at 39 Conduit Road was sold in April for HK$92,857 psf or S$15,800 psf. In Singapore, the highest price done in 2015, based on URA Realis records, was S$3,676 psf for the 13,875 sq ft penthouse in Le Nouvel Ardmore."

A point to note is that according to some property consultants, the pricing for that deal would translate into a higher S$4,838 psf assuming the penthouse's substantial roof terrace component, around 5,000 sq ft, is assigned a psf value equivalent to one-third that of the indoor area. Even then, the price would be just 30 per cent that of the Conduit Road transaction in Hong Kong.

Mr Cheong commented: "The more amazing thing is that 39 Conduit Road has less than 50 years of lease life left." Le Nouvel Ardmore is a freehold project.

Comparing Singapore to London, Mr Cheong noted that in May last year, a penthouse at One Hyde Park was reported to have been sold for £140 million, reflecting £8,750 psf or S$18,462 psf. The highest price captured by URA Realis last year was the S$4,626 psf for a 2,755 sq ft unit at Reignwood Hamilton Scotts.

"Compared to One Hyde Park, our highest last year was just 25 per cent of London's. Even if we use the highest psf price ever recorded here, namely the unit at The Marq On Paterson Hill that was transacted in November 2011 for S$6,840 psf, it still pales in comparison to the 39 Conduit Road and One Hyde Park transactions," said Mr Cheong.

"It is therefore a no-brainer for the well-heeled to start refocusing their attention here because Singapore is still on their map as a key gateway city."


Tuesday, Jun 09, 2015
The Business Times

Source: AsiaOne

Thursday 4 June 2015

HDB RESALE VOLUME UP ALMOST 20% FROM LAST YEAR WHILE OVERALL MONTHLY PRICE CHANGE IS FLAT - SRX

Headline: HDB Resale Volume Up Almost 20% from Last Year while Overall Monthly Price Change is Flat
Observations:
  1. HDB resale prices remained flat in May. HDB resale prices remained unchanged in May 2015 compared to April 2015.  Resale prices of HDB 3 and 4 Room Flats dropped by 0.2% and 0.9% respectively, while prices of HDB 5 Room and Executive Flats went up by 0.7% and 1.3% respectively.


According to the SRX Property Price Index for HDB Resale:
  • Year-on-year, prices have dropped 5.0% from May 2014;
  • Prices have declined 11.0% since the peak in April 2013;
  • There is no revision for price change in April 2015.
 


According to the SRX Property Price Sub-Indices for HDB Resale:
  • In May 2015, HDB resale prices decreased by 0.1% in mature estates, while increased by 0.1% in non-mature estates;
  • Year-on-year, prices in mature estates have declined 3.9% from May 2014;
  • Year-on-year, prices in non-mature estates have declined 6.0% from May 2014;

  1. Resale volume decreased slightly from last month. According to HDB resale data compiled by SRX Property, 1,575 HDB resale flats were sold in May 2015, a slight 2.2% decrease from 1,610 transacted units in April 2015.

  • Year-on-year, resale volume increased by 19.3% compared with 1,320 units resold in May 2014;
  • Resale volume is down 56.8% compared to its peak of 3,649 units in May 2010.
  1. Overall median Transaction Over X-Value (T-O-X) remained negative. According to SRX Property, HDB prices continue to face downward pressure and negative market sentiment in May 2015.  The median T-O-X for HDB measures whether people are overpaying or underpaying the SRX Property X-Value estimated market value.

  • Overall Median T-O-X was NEGATIVE $2,000 in May 2015, unchanged from NEGATIVE $2,000 in April 2015;
  • Median T-O-X for HDB 3, 4, 5, Room and Executive flats were all negative in May 2015.

  1. Punggol posted the highest median T-O-X. For HDB towns having more than 10 resale transactions with T-O-X in May 2015, Punggol reported the highest median TOX of $8,000.
This means that majority of the buyers in these towns has purchased units above the computer-generated market value.
  1. Among relatively active towns, Tampines and Toa Payoh posted the most Negative median T-O-X. Among HDB towns having more than 10 resale transactions with T-O-X in May 2015, the lowest median T-O-X were in Tampines and Toa Payoh at NEGATIVE $ 9,000. 
This means that majority of the buyers in these towns has purchased units below the computer generated market value.

Source: SRX (4 Jun 2015)

HDB resale volume in May up almost 20% from last year - AsiaOne

SINGAPORE - More resale HDB flats were sold in May this year compared to last year, SRX Property said in its flash report on Thursday.

According to SRX Property,  resale volume of HDB flats increased 19.3 per cent year-on-year with 1,575 HDB resale flats sold last month compared to 1,320 units resold in May 2014.

There was a slight 2.2 per cent decline from the 1,610 units transacted in April 2015.

Meanwhile, HDB resale prices remained flat in May compared to April 2015.

Resale prices of HDB 3- and 4-room flats dropped by 0.2 per cent and 0.9 per cent respectively, while prices of HDB 5-room and executive flats went up by 0.7 per cent and 1.3 per cent respectively.

Year-on-year, prices have dropped 5.0 per cent from May 2014.

Mature estates saw a month-on-month decrease of 0.1 per cent in resale prices while there was a 0.1 per cent increase in non-mature estates.

Compared year-on-year, there was a drop of 3.9 per cent in mature estates, and a 6.0 per cent fall in non-mature estates.


Thursday, Jun 04, 2015
SRX Property

Source: AsiaOne